Tuesday Market Update (30th September 2025): Nifty Suffers 8th Day of Losses, RBI Policy in Focus

The September gloom continues to haunt Dalal Street as Nifty closed lower for the 8th consecutive session, reflecting cautious sentiment among traders and investors. While India VIX slipped to 11.06, volatility remains the central theme, especially with the upcoming RBI MPC outcome tomorrow.

📉 Key Market Highlights – 30th September 2025

Nifty 50: 24,611 (▼ -24 pts, -0.10%)
Sensex: 80,268 (▼ -97 pts, -0.12%)
Bank Nifty: 54,636 (▲ +175 pts, +0.32%)
Market Breadth: 26 Advancing : 24 Declining stocks
India VIX: 11.06 (▼ -2.73%)
The biggest concern: Nifty is now trading below all key moving averages – 21 DMA (24,959), 50 DMA (24,848) and 100 DMA (24,942). Its 200 DMA stands at 24,162, keeping the broader trend weak.
🚨 7 Big Headwinds Pulling Markets Down
Persistent FII selling pressure
Trump’s 50% higher tariff on India
$100,000 one-time H1B visa fee imposed by the US
100% tariff on branded & patented pharma imports effective Oct 1, unless firms shift production to the US

Caution ahead of RBI’s policy outcome on Wednesday

Technical weakness: Possible Head & Shoulders pattern on Nifty daily charts
Weak global cues: US shutdown risks & Wall Street futures in red
👉 Bottom-line: Market remains jittery, with caution as the buzzword.
📊 Sectoral Performance
Gainers: PSU Banks (+1.84%), Metals (+1.16%), Auto (+0.40%)
Losers: Media (-1.23%), Consumer Durables (-0.87%), Realty (-0.82%)

🌟 Stocks in Focus

Blue Dart Express (+2.81%) – Announced a shipment price hike (9–12%) from Jan 1, 2026.

SEPC (+0.76%) – Secured ₹32.6 crore order from ADNOC projects in Abu Dhabi.

DCX Systems (+2.42%) – Received purchase orders worth ₹49.9 crore.

BHEL (+2.09%) – Won thermal power project contracts from Madhya Pradesh Power Generating Company.

🐂 Bulls of the Day

ADANIPORTS (+1.66%), ULTRACEMCO (+1.65%), JSWSTEEL (+1.61%), TATAMOTORS (+1.49%), HINDALCO (+1.35%)

🐻 Bears of the Day

INDIGO (-2.03%), ITC (-1.36%), BAJAJFINSV (-1.17%), BHARTIARTL (-1.01%), TECHM (-0.97%)

🔎 Technical Outlook on Nifty

Current CMP: 24,611
Immediate Support: 24,501 / 24,335
Resistance Zone: 24,770 / 24,851
Range: 24,522 – 24,788
Trend: Negative unless Nifty closes above 25,000 hurdle

👉 Until then, expect volatility, volatility, volatility at Dalal Street.

📌 Stocks to Watch

✅ Bullish Short-Term Picks: NMDC, SAIL, Bank of Baroda
✅ Bullish Long-Term Picks: HBL Engineering, L&T, JSW Steel
❌ Bearish: BSE, Titan, Trent
⚠️ Avoid: Lodha, BDL, Mphasis

🔮 Outlook for Wednesday (Oct 1, 2025)

All eyes on the RBI MPC outcome, with markets expecting interest rates to remain unchanged at 5.50%. Alongside, Auto Sales data and GST Collection numbers for September will be key triggers.

If Nifty reclaims 25,000, a recovery may unfold. Until then, cautious trading is advised.

⚠️ Disclaimer

This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Stock market trading & investing involve risks. Please consult your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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Tuesday Market Update (30th September 2025):